Non-Monetary News in Central Bank Communication
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY SYDNEY
Finance Discipline Group
Research Seminars in Finance
Topic: Non-Monetary News in Central Bank Communication
Speaker: Andreas Schrimpf, Bank for International Settlements
Abstract:
We quantify the importance of non-monetary news in central bank communication. Using evidence from four major central banks and a comprehensive classification of events, we decompose news conveyed by central banks into news about monetary policy, economic growth, and separately, shocks to risk premia. Our approach exploits high-frequency comovement of stocks and interest rates combined with monotonicity restrictions across the yield curve. We find significant differences in news composition depending on the communication channel used by central banks. Nonmonetary news prevails in about 40% of policy decision announcements by the Fed and the ECB, and this fraction is even higher for communications that provide context to policy decisions such as press conferences. We show that non-monetary news accounts for a significant part of financial markets’ reaction during the financial crisis and in the early recovery, while monetary shocks gain importance since 2013.
Date: Wednesday, 26th September 2018
Time: 12.00 – 1.00 p.m.
Venue: University of Technology, Sydney
Building 8, Room 8.002, Dr Chau Chak Wing Building
Dr Chau Chak Wing Building
Dr Chau Chak Wing Building
14 - 28 Ultimo Road, Ultimo
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