Technology Sectoral Disruptions
UNIVERSITY OF TECHNOLOGY SYDNEY
Finance Department
Research Seminars in Finance
Paper Title: Technology Sectoral Disruptions
Speaker: Gordon Phillips, Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth
Time and Date: 12-1 pm, Wednesday 21 February 2024 (AEDT)
Location: CB08.05.002, Level 5, Building 8, University of Technology Sydney, Australia (Map of campus)
Abstract: We construct a novel measure of sectoral disruptions using a dynamic text-based spatial model of patents based on the extent to which innovation is suddenly highly correlated across multiple industries. We identify multiple sectoral disruptions occurring over a 70-year period of time. Abnormal stock returns, insider trading, and analyst forecast analysis indicate that sectoral disruptions are unexpected and create positive and long-lasting value gains. Impacted small firms (but not large firms) initially sharply increase equity issuance, reduce payouts, and increase both R&D and CAPX. In the second year after the sectoral disruptions, small firms acquire more and have growing sales, but also increase secrecy as they face increased VC-funded entry. Subsequently, acquisitions and VC activity continue to increase as corporate profits finally begin to increase with sales. These results provide a comprehensive first look at how sectoral disruptions affect firms and the industries in which they operate.
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