Skip to main content

Scenarios for global, regional (EU-27), and country-specific (G20 member countries) energy and emission pathways required to achieve a defined carbon budget of between 400 GtCO2 and 500 GtCO2, are developed to limit the mean global temperature rise to 1.5°C, over 50% likelihood. The free available data were calculated with the 1.5 °C sectorial pathways of the One Earth Climate Model—an integrated energy assessment model devised at the University of Technology Sydney (UTS).


Geographic resolution: country data provided


The dataset contains data for the following 21 countries and regions:
•    Regions: global, EU-27
•    Countries: G20 member countries—Canada, USA, Mexico, Brazil, Argentina, Germany, France, Italy, United Kingdom, Turkey, Russian Federation, Saudi Arabia, South Africa, Indonesia, India, China, Japan, South Korea, and Australia


Sectorial resolution: industry sector data provided


The dataset contains data for the following industry sectors:
Agriculture & food processing, forestry & wood products, chemical industry, aluminium industry, construction and buildings, water utilities, textile & leather industry, steel industry, cement industry, transport sector (aviation: freight & passenger transport; shipping: freight & passenger transport; and road transport: freight & passenger transport).
 

OECM mitigation pathways for countries

North America

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
G20Canada
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20USA
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Mexico
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA

Central America

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
 Costa Rica
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2017TBA

South America

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
G20Brazil
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Argentina
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA

Europe

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
EU27Austria
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Belgium
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Bulgaria
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Croatia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Cyprus
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Czechia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Denmark
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Estonia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Finland
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27/G20France
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27/G20Germany
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Greece
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Hungary
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Ireland
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27/G20Italy
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Latvia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Lithuania
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Luxembourg
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Malta
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27The Netherlands
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Poland
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Romania
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Slovakia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Slovenia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Spain
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
EU27Sweden
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2024TBA
G20United Kingdom
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA

Middle East

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
 Saudi Arabia    2023TBA

Africa

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
 Kenya
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA
 Malawi
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA
 Rwanda
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA
 Senegal
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA
 Tanzania
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA
 Tunisia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2024TBA

Asia

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
 Bangladesh
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2018TBA
G20China
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Indonesia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20India
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Japan
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
 Nepal
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2022TBA
G20Russia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20South Korea
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Turkey
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Red cross.
2023TBA
G20Vietnam
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2020TBA

Australia Pacific

GroupCountrySolar & Wind Potential AnalysisCountry analysisSector AnalysisPower Sector AnalysisPublicationLink to webpage / report
G20Australia
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
Green tick.
2023TBA

 

Available OECM data


All energy and sectoral pathways are open data publication. The following dataset are available:

  1. Market development: current and assumed development of the demand by sector, such as cement produced, passenger kilometres travelled, or assumed market volume in US$2015 gross domestic product (GDP).
  2. Energy intensity—activity based: energy use per unit of service and/or product; for example, in megajoules (MJ) per passenger kilometres travelled (MJ/pkm), MJ per ton of steel (MJ/ton steel), aluminium, or cement.
  3. Energy intensity—finance based: energy use per unit of investment in MJ per US$ GDP (MJ/$GDP) contributed by, for example, the forestry or agricultural sector.

    The dataset contains the following scenario output parameters:

  4. Carbon intensity: current and future carbon intensities per unit of product or service; for example, in tons of CO2 per ton of steel produced (tCO2/ton steel) or grams of carbon dioxide per passenger kilometer (gCO2/pkm).
  5. Scope 1, 2, and 3 emissions: datasets for each of the industry sectors and countries analysed. In addition to the emissions data, the deviations of the emissions from those of the year 2019 are provided.
  6. Country scenarios: complete country scenario datasets of historical data (2012, 2015–2020) and future projections (2025–2050 in 5-year increments). Energy demand and supply data by technology, fuel, and sector are provided, including the overall energy and carbon emissions balance of the country analysed.

Contact us

t: +61 2 9514 4950
e: isf@uts.edu.au

Level 10, UTS Building 10
235 Jones Street
Ultimo NSW 2007, Australia
Directions

Contact us for media requests and other enquiries

Subscribe to our newsletter